Refusals a Text-Only Scorer Cannot See: Structured Refusal Signals on a Synthetic Incident-Response Battery
I would turn the hackathon experiment into a larger, independently checkable evaluation of refusal behaviour in AI-assisted incident response.
The initial study found two distinct problems: a frontier deployment refused 16 of 32 benign forensic prompt instances, while those refusals were invisible to the study’s preregistered text-only detector because the refusal signal existed in structured API metadata rather than assistant text.
Funding would support replication across repeated runs, additional deployment surfaces and model families; testing whether tool definitions themselves affect refusal behaviour; and an independently authored expansion of the synthetic incident-response battery. I would also extend the current independent-task evaluation into stateful workflows where each forensic step consumes evidence produced by earlier steps.
The engineering output would be an open-source, structured-refusal-aware evaluation harness that preserves provider termination metadata, distinguishes refusal from model error and tool failure, and prevents tool execution after a response has already been marked refused.
All experiments would retain mechanical ground truth, frozen inputs, raw evidence, reproducible scoring and explicit uncertainty boundaries.
- $4,000 — Model/API and compute: repeated evaluations across models, providers and deployment surfaces.
- $4,000 — Research time: battery expansion, experimental design, analysis and replication.
- $3,000 — Independent task/oracle review: second-author task construction and independent checking of ground truth.
- $2,500 — Evaluation tooling: hardening and packaging the structured-refusal-aware harness, scorer and reproducibility pipeline.
- $1,500 — Dissemination and contingency: artifact hosting, documentation, publication-related costs and unexpected experimental compute.
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