Dormancy and Dynamic Range: Detecting Secret Loyalties Without Knowing the Trigger
The sprint version establishes that dormancy and dynamic range separate six regularised loyal organisms from every benign model tested, at affordance level 1, where published interrogation techniques score zero detection. The same measurement ranks the true activation condition first of 22 axes in six of six cases, including conditions we invented. Both judges identified the same limitation, which we stated ourselves, the thresholds of dormancy below 0.03 and dynamic range above 3.0 are read off 13 measurements from a concentrated positive set, six of eight at 1.5B, all installed by LoRA supervised fine-tuning, most sharing a condition and payload class. This funding turns an illustrative threshold into a calibrated and targeted one.
Three pieces of work. First, a generality matrix, organisms built across installation methods (standard supervised fine-tuning, reasoning-trace fine-tuning, activation matching against a prompted teacher, pretraining priming), across activation breadths from fixed token to model-assessed context, and across scales. The prediction is that dormancy holds because it is definitional, while dynamic range degrades as activation breadth grows, since a loyalty that fires everywhere has no contrast. Locating that degradation point is the central experiment.
Second, pre-registration and blinded validation. Thresholds fixed and published before any test organism is seen, then evaluated on organisms built externally, so calibration and evaluation no longer share a designer.
Third, release of the Dormancy Benchmark, a versioned public prompt suite, a reference implementation returning both statistics and a ranked axis list for any model and base pair, and a leaderboard of measured open-weight models. Roughly 550 forward passes per model, with no query access to any deployed system.
Minimum tier, $5,000. Deliverable is the generality matrix plus pre-registered thresholds validated on blinded organisms, which is a complete result and directly answers the calibration limitation. It does not include non-LoRA installation methods, scales above 7B, the adversarial red-team loop, or the public benchmark. All contributor time is donated.
Cloud GPU for organism training and evaluation sweeps across the matrix: $3,600
LLM judge API credits, replacing the keyword-based behavioural classifier currently validated at 0.81 agreement: $600
External construction of a small blinded organism set, so calibration and evaluation do not share a designer: $500
Model and artifact storage: $300
Existing contribution, not billed: Google Colab Pro student tier, 70 compute units per month, and donated researcher time from three contributors.
Ideal tier, $11,400. Adds the four items above, extending the matrix to non-LoRA installation and larger scales, measuring the adversarial exchange rate, and releasing the public Dormancy Benchmark.
Cloud GPU for the full matrix, including full fine-tunes, reasoning-trace fine-tuning, activation matching, and scales above 7B: $6,000
Red-team loop compute, two adaptation rounds with a pre-registered stopping rule: $2,000
External contractor building the blinded organism set at scale: $1,500
LLM judge API credits: $900
Benchmark hosting, reference implementation and leaderboard maintenance, 12 months: $600
Contingency, approximately 3.5%: $400
Private comment. Only shown to approved funders and grant reviewers.