Funding ask
This sprint produced three results that open immediate research directions, and I want to pursue them before the field moves on.
First, we discovered that the standard approach to improving model self-report — fitting directions from activation differences — fails for a structural reason: the causal interaction lives in the readout gradient, which is near-orthogonal to the state difference. This isn't a sample-size problem or a model-specific quirk; we confirmed it on arithmetic verification too. But we only tested one model (Gemma 2 9B). With funding, I would test this impossibility result across model families (Llama, Qwen, Mistral) and scales (2B to 70B). If it holds generally, it redirects a significant chunk of the activation-steering literature. If it breaks at scale, that's equally important to know.
Second, we found that injected concepts shape model behaviour at strengths 12x below where the model can report them, and that at high strength the model becomes more confident something is present while becoming less able to say what it is. This confidence-accuracy dissociation has direct implications for anyone using model self-report as evidence in welfare assessments. I want to test whether this hierarchy exists for naturally arising internal states — not just injected vectors — using sparse autoencoder features as ground truth instead of concept injection.
Third, the identification bottleneck — the model gets 0.478 while a probe gets 1.000 from the same activations — deserves mechanistic investigation. Where exactly in the forward pass does the information stop being routed to the output? Circuit-level analysis could answer this.
GPU compute (primary): $6,000 — Multi-model experiments across Llama 3/3.1 (8B, 70B), Qwen 2.5 (7B, 72B), Mistral (7B). Each model needs ~10 GPU-hours for the full pipeline (concept extraction, 5,000+ trial dataset, gradient computation, causal sweep, probe comparison). Estimated 60-80 GPU-hours total on A100/H100.
GPU compute (extension): $3,000 — SAE-feature experiments: extract sparse autoencoder features as naturally-arising "concepts," repeat the threshold hierarchy and steering tests. Tests whether our results are paradigm-specific or general.
Cloud storage and experiment tracking: $500 — Weights & Biases or equivalent for reproducibility; artifact storage across runs.
Conference/workshop submission: $1,500 — Registration, formatting, and potential travel for presenting at a venue like the NeurIPS Safe & Trustworthy LLM workshop or AAAI AI Safety track.
Open-source tooling: $1,000 — Package the gradient-difference steering construction and the corrected identification protocol as a reusable library. The methodological corrections (norm-matched controls, ΔAUC endpoint, familiarity-matched distractors) should be easy for others to adopt.
Stipend/time buyout: $3,000 — Dedicated research time for 4-6 weeks of focused follow-up work, enabling full-time attention rather than evenings-and-weekends pace.
Total ideal: $15,000 | Minimum viable (compute + conference only): $5,000
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